Maybe, but the casualties aren't so vastly higher. A lot more Americans come back from the Russian Front than don't, after all. A butterfly killing one or more of them would be possible, but far from certain. And while Stuart certainly arranges plenty of stupid butterfly contrivances, I see no reason for him to arrange those except to show off the obvious precept of "It's ALTERNATE history!"
I mean, you'd basically be rolling dice to determine who lives and who dies, and what decent story can be told that way?
The rationale makes a fair amount of sense up through the 1960s- given the way WWII ends, it is totally sensible for the US to wind up converting its military into a large, highly capable force ruthlessly optimized for its ability to deliver nuclear bombs. That's "how wars are won," from the point of view of a late 20th century person living on TBO Earth.phongn wrote:In the near term post-TBO, it's probably reasonable to see such designs. It's also deliberate; Stuart wanted a world (IIRC) in which we saw some of these never-built, high-performance aircraft.Coiler wrote:The next “this happened” is a show-off of the F-108, a fighter designed in OTL but never built. I’ll take advantage of this scene to say that having OTL designs, even never-built ones, is just another example of the lack of butterflies in TBO. It’s either OTL designs or butterfly wings that only flap towards never-built OTL designs that Stuart and his fans would like to see.
The absence of a meaningful Cold War rivalry with the USSR (which is both devastated by the war and heavily indebted to the US for its support during the war) means no need to structure a conscript army to cover the Fulda Gap, little perceived need to deploy troops to hotspots like Korea or Vietnam to forestall the spread of international communism, and an environment in which the "missile gap" and related rhetoric that influenced the ICBM-vs-bombers debate is unlikely to emerge in recognizable form.
And if you want to build an optimized nuclear delivery force, it's going to look like either the existing ICBM force, or a bomber force. If it's a bomber force and it's being developed in the 1950s and 1960s using state of the art technology for the period, it will end up with roughly the force mix Stuart describes, in aircraft types clearly recognizable as such: high speed bomber basically equivalent to the B-70, high speed interceptors to stop enemy nuclear bombers from reaching things we don't want disintegrated, and so forth.
Say what you will about the man, I don't quibble with his ability to design a 1960s air defense network.
You'd expect to see more divergence in the '70s and on, as the consequences of less emphasis on tactical air support, low-altitude air operations, and the like come into play. And from what I recall, there is a certain amount of that: compare TBO's version of the "Tomcat" carrier-based fighter to what flew off USN carriers in real life. By the 2000-2010 timeframe, practically the entire US Air Force and naval aviation are flying planes that, in real life, "never were."
But for aircraft design, in terms of what kinds of performance and capabilities are valued and what kinds of performance are not- because that's what drives the designs- the point of departure isn't 1940 at all. It's some time in the 1960s, when a differing sense of the possible and a differing set of performance criteria start motivating people to depart from the historical evolution of aircraft designs.
Yep. This ties into the repeated comments that what's skewed about TBO isn't the hardware so much as it's the people.Guardsman Bass wrote:That's not to mention the extreme unlikeliness of him becoming President at the same time that he did, or as a President with the same type of positions that he held IRL. Carter was actually a rather obscure governor at the start of the primary season in the 1976 Election, who used the caucuses and primaries to get himself the Democratic Nomination. There is no reason for Carter to become President when he did in the TBOverse, except that Stuart wanted him as a strawman to make "Ronaldus Magnus" look greater in comparison (who also got elected at the same time as he did IRL).MKSheppard wrote:More seriously, why is Carter even in politics? He left the Navy only because his father died IIRC and he had to go put the family affairs in order, and this in turn led him into politics.