Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

N&P: Discuss governments, nations, politics and recent related news here.

Moderators: Alyrium Denryle, Edi, K. A. Pital

Post Reply
User avatar
The Guid
Jedi Council Member
Posts: 1888
Joined: 2005-04-05 10:22pm
Location: Northamptonshire, UK

Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

Post by The Guid »

Simple question really.

I've spotted that leaders in democratic countries largely rise and fall on the basis of their perceived ability with the economy. Are there any democratic leaders or indeed parties that have bucked the trend; governments who have presided over diminished quality of life and economy and have then been re-elected? Especially if they have remained popular.

How did they do this?
Self declared winner of The Posedown Thread
EBC - "What? What?" "Tally Ho!" Division
I wrote this:The British Avengers fanfiction

"Yeah, funny how that works - you giving hungry people food they vote for you. You give homeless people shelter they vote for you. You give the unemployed a job they vote for you.

Maybe if the conservative ideology put a roof overhead, food on the table, and employed the downtrodden the poor folk would be all for it, too". - Broomstick
User avatar
Broomstick
Emperor's Hand
Posts: 28782
Joined: 2004-01-02 07:04pm
Location: Industrial armpit of the US Midwest

Re: Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

Post by Broomstick »

FDR got re-elected three times, despite the lingering problems of the Great Depression.
A life is like a garden. Perfect moments can be had, but not preserved, except in memory. Leonard Nimoy.

Now I did a job. I got nothing but trouble since I did it, not to mention more than a few unkind words as regard to my character so let me make this abundantly clear. I do the job. And then I get paid.- Malcolm Reynolds, Captain of Serenity, which sums up my feelings regarding the lawsuit discussed here.

If a free society cannot help the many who are poor, it cannot save the few who are rich. - John F. Kennedy

Sam Vimes Theory of Economic Injustice
Samuel
Sith Marauder
Posts: 4750
Joined: 2008-10-23 11:36am

Re: Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

Post by Samuel »

Broomstick wrote:FDR got re-elected three times, despite the lingering problems of the Great Depression.
Yeah, but the second time, the economy was improving, the third time there was the threat of war and the fourth time we were in a war.
User avatar
Broomstick
Emperor's Hand
Posts: 28782
Joined: 2004-01-02 07:04pm
Location: Industrial armpit of the US Midwest

Re: Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

Post by Broomstick »

Yeah, the economy improving from "completely hellish" to "sucks infected donkey balls" was such an improvement... although the perception the New Deal was at least helping probably did have something to do with it.
A life is like a garden. Perfect moments can be had, but not preserved, except in memory. Leonard Nimoy.

Now I did a job. I got nothing but trouble since I did it, not to mention more than a few unkind words as regard to my character so let me make this abundantly clear. I do the job. And then I get paid.- Malcolm Reynolds, Captain of Serenity, which sums up my feelings regarding the lawsuit discussed here.

If a free society cannot help the many who are poor, it cannot save the few who are rich. - John F. Kennedy

Sam Vimes Theory of Economic Injustice
User avatar
Hillary
Jedi Master
Posts: 1261
Joined: 2005-06-29 11:31am
Location: Londinium

Re: Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

Post by Hillary »

John Major's Government got re-elected in 1992 when the economy was pants. This was as much to do with the fear of Neil Kinnock becoming PM, as anything else - something the press eagerly exploited.

Entertainingly, he then got his arse handed to him in 1997, when the economy was in pretty damn good shape. They lost due to a few factors. The 'sleaze' issue, where a lot of Tory MPs were exposed as being less than saintly in their personal/financial dealings; a general fatigue from having the same party in power for 18 years; and the Labour party having a credible leader (i.e. one who wasn't even slightly socialist and looked like a Tory).

Maggie Thatcher's Government also got re-elected (and with an improved majority) in 1983, when we were only just starting to pick up again after the early 80s recession. However, this had more to do with the Falklands War - Jingoism Ahoy!!!
What is WRONG with you people
User avatar
Surlethe
HATES GRADING
Posts: 12267
Joined: 2004-12-29 03:41pm

Re: Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

Post by Surlethe »

Broomstick wrote:Yeah, the economy improving from "completely hellish" to "sucks infected donkey balls" was such an improvement... although the perception the New Deal was at least helping probably did have something to do with it.
Over FDR's first term, the US economy grew about 30%. That's 6-7% annually. No surprise FDR was reelected in 1936. (It's also no surprise FDR was elected in the first place: on Hoover's watch, the economy fell about 9%/yr.)
A Government founded upon justice, and recognizing the equal rights of all men; claiming higher authority for existence, or sanction for its laws, that nature, reason, and the regularly ascertained will of the people; steadily refusing to put its sword and purse in the service of any religious creed or family is a standing offense to most of the Governments of the world, and to some narrow and bigoted people among ourselves.
F. Douglass
User avatar
Skgoa
Jedi Master
Posts: 1389
Joined: 2007-08-02 01:39pm
Location: Dresden, valley of the clueless

Re: Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

Post by Skgoa »

Germany's chancellor Schröder got re-elected riding on popularity from his handling of severe flooding in east Germany. He resigned a couple of years later, when his reforms to kickstart economic growth were seen by his base and party as to anti-social.
http://www.politicalcompass.org/test
Economic Left/Right: -7.12
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -7.74

This is pre-WWII. You can sort of tell from the sketch style, from thee way it refers to Japan (Japan in the 1950s was still rebuilding from WWII), the spelling of Tokyo, lots of details. Nothing obvious... except that the upper right hand corner of the page reads "November 1931." --- Simon_Jester
User avatar
TC Pilot
Jedi Council Member
Posts: 1648
Joined: 2007-04-28 01:46am

Re: Does anyone get re-elected on a bad economy?

Post by TC Pilot »

FDR's win in '36 had probably about as much to do with the perception of "We'll completely repeal the New Deal" if the Republicans were elected.

Another good example of an incumbent winning despite substantial drops in living standards and economic conditions was Yeltsin in '96, though he won more as a result of simply buying the election.
"He may look like an idiot and talk like an idiot, but don't let that fool you. He really is an idiot."

"Carpe diem, quam minimum credula postero."
Post Reply