Yellow.Drooling Iguana wrote:So Mars really will be the Red Planet then?Nathan F wrote:I'm saying that, what with the current funding and PR levels of NASA, that the Chinese will be the first on Mars.

Moderators: Alyrium Denryle, Edi, K. A. Pital
Yellow.Drooling Iguana wrote:So Mars really will be the Red Planet then?Nathan F wrote:I'm saying that, what with the current funding and PR levels of NASA, that the Chinese will be the first on Mars.
Hate to tell you this, but in any contest between opinion and fact, opinion loses every time.MKSheppard wrote:It says that I don't exactly have a very high opinion of the quality of theirPatrick Degan wrote: And this says they're incapable of putting a man in space how, exactly?
workmanship. Which is why I prefer the term "Dead" for anyone who
steps into a Chinese made space capsule.
Hate to tell you this, but John Pike is more credible than your sources.Patrick Degan wrote: Hate to tell you this, but in any contest between opinion and fact, opinion loses every time.
...This program has apparently slowed in favor of Russian-built submarines and continued production of the Ming-class.
It's really sad when your next generation submarine is being reducedThought to have terminated in 1996, the Project 035 program produced its 20th hull late in 2000. The new boat was reportedly two meters longer than previous units, suggesting plans for continued production of this obsolete design. Indeed, as of mid-2002 China had launched a total of 21 MINGs.
If J-10 is ready for production, Deegan, why do large numbers ofThe Su-30MKK for China is different in details from the basic Su-30MK. In June 1999 Russia agreed to sell 72 of these front-line Sukhoi-30 jet fighter-bombers to China. The aircraft building enterprise in Komsomolsk-on-Amur (KnAAPO) is likely to become the main supplier of a large lot of Su-30MKK fighter jets to China. The cost of one Su-30MKK fighter jet is estimated at $35 million - $37 million. At the same time, negotiations began for Moscow to grant a licence for the production of another 250 Sukhoi-30 fighters.
In late July 2001 China signed a contract with the Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aviation Production Association to supply upward of $2 billion worth of Su-30 MKK ground-attack planes. One report put the number of jets at 38 aircraft. The factory's 5,000 workers would be working until 2003 to fulfill the terms of the contract. Russia had already delivered between 70 and 100 Su-27s to China.
In July 2002 it was reported that China would buy around 30 Su-30MK2 naval fighters, on top of the 80 Su-30MKKs it bought in 1999 and 2001. The deal was estimated it to be worth at least $1.2 billion. The Su-30MK2, a modified version of the Su-30MKK, is a naval striker equipped with X-31A anti-ship missiles. Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aviation Production Association is the maker of the plane.
Buying 30 more Sukhoi fighters would give China a total of as many as 400. China took delivery of 26 Su-27SK/UBKs in 1992 and another 22 in 1995. In 1996 China signed a contract to produce 200 Su-27SKs under license.
On February 14, 2003 the Washington Times reported that China had received its latest shipment of SU-30MKKs from Russia. The exact number of aircraft involved was not clear.
I do love this line:The record indicates only two failures in sixty-one launches with the Long March rocket system.
Actually, that quote is rather telling. The Chinese couldn't bring themselves to admitThe specific flaw in the Long March 2E, found after its failure to launch the Optus B2, was in the vertical seam of the fairing. The Chinese were so reluctant to admit this defect that it took a second launch failure and a Hughes "tutorial" in rocket science before the China Academy of Launch Vehicle Technology (CALT) made adequate changes in the fairing.
Keep in mind that only 14 have actually died in a spacecraft in flight, and thoseAnd BTW, before arguing that the Chinese craft might be less safe and reliable than our own, I'm constrained to point out that 17 dead American astronauts might disagree.
Actually, they THINK it'd be about Victor III or Permit kinda level. That level represents your AWARENESS you must quiet the sub and the stuff you can think of to quiet the sub without practical experience. Without real expereince in actually quieting, you may not be able to get much further than that - actually running to sub tells you where else you needa patch. For a "second time" design, it is probably par.Vympel wrote:Their submarine programs aren't impressive however. Their new SSN will be at around the Victor III technology level, and their new SSK sucks.
D'oh!AniThynger wrote:, what?
the article states:
Friday's announcement also gave the first official details of the planned flight, revealing that the Shenzhou (Divine Vessel) V spacecraft would make 14 orbits of the Earth before landing in a pre-selected area.
All the John Pike article indicates was that they had problems with the initial development, not that the design was a failure. Try again.MKSheppard wrote:Hate to tell you this, but John Pike is more credible than your sources.Patrick Degan wrote: Hate to tell you this, but in any contest between opinion and fact, opinion loses every time.
It's called bugetary restrictions. We had to cancel our own Seawolf programme at two boats for much the same reason.http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ ... a/ming.htm
It's really sad when your next generation submarine is being reduced in favor of fucking Type XXI U-Boat knockoffs. (Which is what the Ming really is. It's a knockoff of the Russian Romeo class, which is in itself a knock off of the XXI.)Thought to have terminated in 1996, the Project 035 program produced its 20th hull late in 2000. The new boat was reportedly two meters longer than previous units, suggesting plans for continued production of this obsolete design. Indeed, as of mid-2002 China had launched a total of 21 MINGs.
You'd better come up with better evidence than that.As for the J-10, it's pure bullshit. They've said on and off for years and years that the damn thing is being produced, mostly on Chinese aviation websites, complete with photoshopped planes.
The programme is just starting, and the PLAAF aren't going to wait for production of one type to ramp up to replace ageing fighters in their inventory. The Su-30 MMK is available in quantity now, and it makes sense to go with what's available.http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ ... /su-30.htm
If J-10 is ready for production, Deegan, why do large numbers of Su-30MKKs keep coming into the PLA if they could save money and build up their domestic aviation industry by producing the J-10?The Su-30MKK for China is different in details from the basic Su-30MK. In June 1999 Russia agreed to sell 72 of these front-line Sukhoi-30 jet fighter-bombers to China. The aircraft building enterprise in Komsomolsk-on-Amur (KnAAPO) is likely to become the main supplier of a large lot of Su-30MKK fighter jets to China. The cost of one Su-30MKK fighter jet is estimated at $35 million - $37 million. At the same time, negotiations began for Moscow to grant a licence for the production of another 250 Sukhoi-30 fighters.
In late July 2001 China signed a contract with the Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aviation Production Association to supply upward of $2 billion worth of Su-30 MKK ground-attack planes. One report put the number of jets at 38 aircraft. The factory's 5,000 workers would be working until 2003 to fulfill the terms of the contract. Russia had already delivered between 70 and 100 Su-27s to China.
In July 2002 it was reported that China would buy around 30 Su-30MK2 naval fighters, on top of the 80 Su-30MKKs it bought in 1999 and 2001. The deal was estimated it to be worth at least $1.2 billion. The Su-30MK2, a modified version of the Su-30MKK, is a naval striker equipped with X-31A anti-ship missiles. Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aviation Production Association is the maker of the plane.
Buying 30 more Sukhoi fighters would give China a total of as many as 400. China took delivery of 26 Su-27SK/UBKs in 1992 and another 22 in 1995. In 1996 China signed a contract to produce 200 Su-27SKs under license.
On February 14, 2003 the Washington Times reported that China had received its latest shipment of SU-30MKKs from Russia. The exact number of aircraft involved was not clear.
Same deal with the Soviets. They succeeded with Vostok, Voskhod, and Soyuz under the same conditions and despite the same unwillingness of the government to admit to failure. Two failures in sixty-one launches still adds up to a success rate of 97%. Numbers don't lie. And evidently the Chinese did bring themselves to admit that they fucked up and did what was required to correct the defect.Actually, that quote is rather telling. The Chinese couldn't bring themselves to admit that yes, they fucked up, and so a second Long March was lost. I think this is the crux with all their development problems in the aerospace industry and maritime industries.
http://www.clw.org/coalition/spratt052599.htm
The specific flaw in the Long March 2E, found after its failure to launch the Optus B2, was in the vertical seam of the fairing. The Chinese were so reluctant to admit this defect that it took a second launch failure and a Hughes "tutorial" in rocket science before the China Academy of Launch Vehicle Technology (CALT) made adequate changes in the fairing.
They just can't imagine that they could be wrong, it seems to be a societal problem that holds back their potential to produce quality goods.
Which has fuck-all to do with any discussion of a space programme.And the Chinese are notorious for their second rate equipment in the firearms industry. A NORINCO AK will fire reliably, due to it being an AK, but if you buy a NORINCO M-14 clone, expect some major problems with quality control.
A distinction which is actually meaningless. Accidents will happen no matter how good the technology is.Keep in mind that only 14 have actually died in a spacecraft in flight, and those were separated by about 50 successful launches over 17 years.And BTW, before arguing that the Chinese craft might be less safe and reliable than our own, I'm constrained to point out that 17 dead American astronauts might disagree.
Funny, I think there was a time when we and the Russians had no real experience with manned spaceflight.And they have no real experience with manned spaceflight
Yes, who knows what sort of bonehead screwups they might make. They might be dumb enough to pump highly flammable pure oxygen into their capsules for cabin atmosphere. Or they might be dumb enough to install a defective pump mechanism into a capsule's power-cell system. Or ignore the dangers of freezing temperatures causing embrittlement of rubber O-ring seals on a booster rocket. Or spray on loose foam insulation which could flake off and punch a hole in somewhere...so I wouldn't put it past them to make a boneheaded screwup like forget to correctly seat an oxygen vent valve leading to the "deadnauts" dying ala Soyuz 11 when they survived the launch and 22 days on Salyut 1, but perished during re-entry because the Russians eliminated pressure suits to put a third guy into Soyuz.
You seem to have missed this:Patrick Degan wrote: All the John Pike article indicates was that they had problems with the initial development, not that the design was a failure. Try again.
The acquisition of Su-27, after China had attempted for years to develop the J-10 aircraft with equivalent technology to perform similar functions, demonstrates a lack of confidence in domestic industrial capabilities. China’s record on reverse engineering aircraft has not been impressive, and it remains in doubt whether the J-10 will ever join China’s interceptor inventory.
Yet we replaced it with the NSSN program which is more advanced thanIt's called bugetary restrictions. We had to cancel our own Seawolf programme at two boats for much the same reason.
http://www.sinodefence.com/airforce/air ... 2410-3937rYou'd better come up with better evidence than that.
Pakistan and China have agreed on an initial production run of 500 versions of their new jointly developed FC-1 fighter jet, known in China as the Xiao Long, after Chinese military objections were overruled. China's air chiefs preferred to concentrate on getting the long-delayed and more sophisticated J-10 into service. But after heavy lobbying by Pakistan and by China's influential China Aero Technology Import and Export Co. and by the manufacturer, Chengdu Aircraft Industry Co., the deal is going ahead. Pakistan's Air Force is taking 150, China has now agreed to take 200, and the remainder are aimed at export markets. The new warplane, based on the Russian MiG-33 (declined by the Russian air force) and equipped with Russian RD-93 turbofan engines, has had its control surfaces redesigned to make it more of a match for the U.S.-built F-16 in maneuverability. The longer production run is supposed to bring the unit price down to $10 million. The joint development project has so far cost the two countries $500 million.
The programme is just starting
Perhaps, but there seems to be a trend in Chinese arms development;and the PLAAF aren't going to wait for production of one type to ramp up to replace ageing fighters in their inventory. The Su-30 MMK is available in quantity now, and it makes sense to go with what's available.
Americans boarding the ship discovered that many of the interiors were made of plywood, and highly vulnerable to shipboard fires.
Interestingly enough, thats about roughly the success rate for the STS.Two failures in sixty-one launches still adds up to a success rate of 97%. Numbers don't lie.
NORINCO is a major Chinese defense manufacturer. If they can screw upWhich has fuck-all to do with any discussion of a space programme.
I'd just LOVE to see Mike's reaction to that. And this whole thread, for that matter.StarshipTitanic wrote:Yellow.Drooling Iguana wrote:So Mars really will be the Red Planet then?Nathan F wrote:I'm saying that, what with the current funding and PR levels of NASA, that the Chinese will be the first on Mars.
The most advanced Chinese destroyer is the Luhai. Course, both it and the Luhu are laden with imported parts, the turbines came from the Ukraine, the SAM's are copies of the French Crotale, the torpedoes are knock offs of knock offs of the Mk46 mod 1, which was obsolete several decades ago. Several of the radars, air search and fire control, are French.MKSheppard wrote:
Case in point is the Luhu class - they're the most advanced indigenously
produced DDGs in the chinese inventory, entering service in 1994, and 1996, but are considered antiquated by Western standards, hence the
Chinese decision to buy four Sovremenny destroyers from Russia.
As noted above, the SAM's on both of there recent destroyer classes are Crotale's not indigenious designs.For example, the Luhas carry about 32~ SAMs with a range of 10-14 km,
while the two Russian-built Sovremennys, despite being built in 1978, carry 48~ SAMs capable of destroying targets 25 km away, almost twice the range
of the indigenious chinese designs.
The C-801/2/3 are all a new design, well it was new when developed but that was the late 1980's. It's based off Silkworm and Exocet technology and while it works, the basic version was very short range with a small warhead dispite being larger then a Harpoon. The 802/3 are much better in terms of range but not warhead.
And the Chinese Luhas only carry subsonic anti-ship missiles, the C-802s,
which are Silkworms, as opposed to the Sunburns on the Sovremmenys,
which are supersonic ASMs which could give a US ship a run for it's
money.
Why the fuck would they bother with such an expensive system? ICBM's work just fine. But China has made no attempt to increase its long-range nuclear forces for a long time and that's not likely to change. Especially given the block obsolescence of there conventional military.Spyder wrote:So, if this is successful how much compunction do you think China will have against putting nukes into space?
And now there's doubt about the financing for the Virginia and her sisters, and since your example shows the USN "settling for less", your point seems to make no point.MKSheppard wrote:Yet we replaced it with the NSSN program which is more advanced than a Los Angeles class boat, but less advanced than a Seawolf, instead of dusting off plans for Tang-class submarines.It's called bugetary restrictions. We had to cancel our own Seawolf programme at two boats for much the same reason.
But something about the J-10 going into service, it seems...Uhm, nothing about serial production of the A variant.You'd better come up with better evidence than that.
http://www.sinodefence.com/airforce/air ... er/j10.asp
According to the latest reports from a Chinese official media, a type of new fighter aircraft has entered service with a PLAAF unit based in east China, implying that the J-10 has completed initial flight tests. It is estimated that in addition to the original 6 prototype aircraft, at least another 10 aircraft have been built for operational test and evaluation (OT&E) phase in combat units.
Again, the PLAAF are buying what's available and it looks as if the Chinese were heavily involved in the development project along with the Pakistanis. You weaken your case.It also appears that the J-10 has been downgraded in favor of producing the FC-1:
http://www.upi.com/view.cfm?StoryID=200 ... 2410-3937r
Pakistan and China have agreed on an initial production run of 500 versions of their new jointly developed FC-1 fighter jet, known in China as the Xiao Long, after Chinese military objections were overruled. China's air chiefs preferred to concentrate on getting the long-delayed and more sophisticated J-10 into service. But after heavy lobbying by Pakistan and by China's influential China Aero Technology Import and Export Co. and by the manufacturer, Chengdu Aircraft Industry Co., the deal is going ahead. Pakistan's Air Force is taking 150, China has now agreed to take 200, and the remainder are aimed at export markets. The new warplane, based on the Russian MiG-33 (declined by the Russian air force) and equipped with Russian RD-93 turbofan engines, has had its control surfaces redesigned to make it more of a match for the U.S.-built F-16 in maneuverability. The longer production run is supposed to bring the unit price down to $10 million. The joint development project has so far cost the two countries $500 million.
And how long, exctly, did it take the Stealth bomber to be developed? That programme was first announced in 1980 and took nine years to start delivering units for service.You call being in development for 15 years "just starting"?The programme is just starting
All that demonstrates is that they still lack the same heavy industrial base to adequately support an independent arms production system that we and the Russians enjoy, not that they are technologically inept and incapable of building space rockets, which they demonstrably are able to do.Perhaps, but there seems to be a trend in Chinese arms development; they build their own stuff, it fails miserably or is delayed so long, that they open up their checkbooks and send money to Russia or other countries.and the PLAAF aren't going to wait for production of one type to ramp up to replace ageing fighters in their inventory. The Su-30 MMK is available in quantity now, and it makes sense to go with what's available.
And in the 70s and 80s, we fielded ships which were built with aluminium superstructures which were highly vulnerable to shipboard fires. You may want to ask survivors from the Belknap and the Stark about that one.Case in point is the Luhu class <snip> And I love this bit on the Luha:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ ... a/luhu.htm
Americans boarding the ship discovered that many of the interiors were made of plywood, and highly vulnerable to shipboard fires.
Except their two failures didn't kill 14 astronauts.Interestingly enough, thats about roughly the success rate for the STS.Two failures in sixty-one launches still adds up to a success rate of 97%. Numbers don't lie.
And your evidence that NORINCO are building Long March and Shenzhou is...NORINCO is a major Chinese defense manufacturer. If they can screw up a Garand system...well...
About the same as ours and the Russians.Spyder wrote:So, if this is successful how much compunction do you think China will have against putting nukes into space?
Yeah, and China has taken over 50% longer with a far less complex and demanding design that was built off of years and billions of dollars of pervious Israeli and US work to field a handful of prototypes.And how long, exctly, did it take the Stealth bomber to be developed? That programme was first announced in 1980 and took nine years to start delivering units for service.
Actually both ships would have suffered comparable damage if built completely of steel, you cannot extinguish a solid rocket fuel fire and they will melt through steel, and Belknap was drenched in blazing jet fuel which also was hot enough to melt steel. And contrary to myth aluminum has never burned in a warship fire.And in the 70s and 80s, we fielded ships which were built with aluminium superstructures which were highly vulnerable to shipboard fires. You may want to ask survivors from the Belknap and the Stark about that one.
???MKSheppard wrote:If they're so brainy, then why is their best domestically produced planePatrick Degan wrote:*snip chinese are so smart stuff*
a MiG-21 knockoff? They've always failed every time they've tried to
produce a next generation fighter, despite the obvious photoshopping
jobs by Chinese aviation fanboi, hence them buying FLANKERS from Russia.
It bears some vague similarity to the F-16A, but Shep is right, it was developed off of the J-7 (hence the original name 'Super-7')- and even the F-16A is quite old and woefully outclassed nowadays- in the age of the Eurofighter Typhoon, Dassault Rafale, Sukhoi's various "Super FLANKERs" and RSK MiGs MiG-29M1/M2, the JF-17 just doesn't measure up in any way, shape or form.PainRack wrote: The latest domestic plane model is supposed to be some kind of equivalent to the F-16A.
I said that aluminium warships were highly vulnerable to shipboard fires, and while aluminium may not burn it does melt rather easily. Aluminium has a melting point of around 1480°F, where most steel alloys have melting points of around 2500°F, and worse shipboard fires aboard the destroyers USS Laffley and USS Aaron Ward in World War II did not result in anywhere near the level of structural damage as suffered by the Belknap, whose topside works were razed right down to her main steel deck.Sea Skimmer wrote:Belknap was drenched in blazing jet fuel which also was hot enough to melt steel. And contrary to myth aluminum has never burned in a warship fire.
Oh please, like no one on this site has said off-color jokes before.JodoForce wrote:I'd just LOVE to see Mike's reaction to that. And this whole thread, for that matter.StarshipTitanic wrote:Yellow.Drooling Iguana wrote:So Mars really will be the Red Planet then?
Dien Bien Phu?Wicked Pilot wrote:Normally I'd make fun of France's practice of surrendering here, but I can't seem to tie it into China. Can somebody help me out?
Your first mistake was in not killing him first.Admiral Valdemar wrote: Ugh, what a disaster.