Alex Moon wrote:
* A clandestine network of laboratories and safehouses within the Iraqi Intelligence Service that contained equipment subject to UN monitoring and suitable for continuing CBW research.
"Note what that sentence does not say: these facilities were suitable for chemical and biological weapons research (as almost any modern lab would be), not that they had engaged in such research. The reference to UN monitoring is also spurious: under the terms of UN resolutions, all of Iraq's chemical and biological facilities are subject to monitoring. So all this tells us is that Iraq had modern laboratories."
* A prison laboratory complex, possibly used in human testing of BW agents, that Iraqi officials working to prepare for UN inspections were explicitly ordered not to declare to the UN.
"Possibly". Nuff said.
* Reference strains of biological organisms concealed in a scientist's home, one of which can be used to produce biological weapons.
"Botulinum type A is one of the most poisonous substances known, and was developed in weaponised form by Iraq before 1991. However, type B - the form found at the biologist's home - is less lethal.
Even then, it would require an extensive process of fermentation, the growing of the bug, the extraction of the toxin and the weaponisation of the toxin before it could cause harm. That process would take weeks, if not longer, but the ISG reported no sign of any of these activities.
Botulinum type B could also be used for making an antidote to common botulinum poisoning. That is one of the reasons why many military laboratories around the world keep reference strains of C botulinum Okra B. The UK keeps such substances, for example, and calls them seed banks."
This substance is also used in plastic surgery and in something (don't have it on me right now) involving cattle. A single vial of this stuff proves positively zero.
* New research on BW-applicable agents, Brucella and Congo Crimean Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF), and continuing work on ricin and aflatoxin were not declared to the UN.
BW-'applicable' agents. Yet another 'oh, they could have, but we don't actually have any evidence that they did'
* Documents and equipment, hidden in scientists' homes, that would have been useful in resuming uranium enrichment by centrifuge and electromagnetic isotope separation (EMIS).
'Would have been useful' not 'was used'.
Durandal is quite correct in saying the program was non-existent. Kay's report didn't uncover a single shred of evidence of an active program.
* A line of UAVs not fully declared at an undeclared production facility and an admission that they had tested one of their declared UAVs out to a range of 500 km, 350 km beyond the permissible limit.
There is nothing in the Resolution 687 pertaining to the ranges of UAVs whatsoever, regardless, even if one interprets Res 687 this way (despite the 150km limit only applying to ballistic missiles), the US Air Force was of the opinion that Iraq's UAVs were for recon purposes, and were unsuitable for WMD dissemination. Which is hardly news, considering it was always a fucking stupid idea, and which ever idiot in the Bush administration thought it up was reading too much Tom Clancy.
* Continuing covert capability to manufacture fuel propellant useful only for prohibited SCUD variant missiles, a capability that was maintained at least until the end of 2001 and that cooperating Iraqi scientists have said they were told to conceal from the UN.
Once again, not a shread of evidence that they actually did.
* Plans and advanced design work for new long-range missiles with ranges up to at least 1000 km - well beyond the 150 km range limit imposed by the UN. Missiles of a 1000 km range would have allowed Iraq to threaten targets through out the Middle East, including Ankara, Cairo, and Abu Dhabi.
"Iraq was simply prohibited from actually having longer-range missiles, together with "major parts, and repair and production facilities". The ISG does not claim proof that Iraq had any such missiles or facilities, just the knowledge to produce them in future."
* Clandestine attempts between late-1999 and 2002 to obtain from North Korea technology related to 1,300 km range ballistic missiles --probably the No Dong -- 300 km range anti-ship cruise missiles, and other prohibited military equipment.
Unsuccessful attempts.
Kay's report suggests that as soon as the sanctions were lifted, Iraq would have once again begun production on Chemical/Biological weapons, as well as reconstituted it's nuclear program. In light of this there are really only two options.
A) Continue the sanctions, at the cost of tens of thousands of Iraqis per year over the course of 10-20 years with no guarentee that they would be fully effective.
Actually, they *were* effective, and until vast stocks of WMD, long range missiles etc are found, that'll remain the case.
or
B) Remove Saddam from power. While this means a war and subsequent occupation, it would still be far less costly in terms of lives lost, would remove any threat completely and would have the added bonus of allowing for the creation of a stable democratic arab state, an alternative to the dictatorships that currently infest the region and channel money and young men into terrorist groups as a way of relieving social pressures within their own countries.
The neoconservative fantasy flogged for the past decade by the Weekly Standard rears it's ugly head. I have zero confidence that a democracy imposed by a US military invasion and occupation will have any credibility with surrounding countries or populations. Iraq is now the World Cup of Jihad, nothing more.
So if we can't afford to rebuild Iraq, what do suggest we do? Turn it over to the UN? That means giving it to countries who are currently clamoring for billions in debts rung up by Saddam. Debts which would be a blow to a frigile iraqi economy. Not only that, but the UN pulled it's people out at the first signs that golly gee they might actually be at risk. If they don't have the will to go to the very places that they claim they are needed, then why are do they continually cry for more responsibilities there? Just acknowlege that the US is the occuping power, that they will offer support in the formation of a new government, even if only moral, and allow us to conduct anti-guerrilla operations under the UN flag. That way we can get support from member nations that are willing to share the danger.
Few countries are willing to share the danger, because they didn't want the war in the first place.