ComradeClaus wrote:
cosmicalstorm wrote:
Don't you need spaceships for that?
Europe had astronuts, but never had & never will have man-capable spaceflight They hitched a ride, I'm guessing we'll hire out to the chinese, their manned SOYuz Sauce Bottle Rocket copies are cheaper to launch than the shuttle...
Wow. You're a moron . . . but stating this is like stating a fire is rather hot. As others have already pointed out, NASA plans to get back into the manned launch business. Even if NASA never got into the business of launching people into space ever again, it'll be a very long time before we start hiring out to the Chinese. Russia is a full partner of the ISS effort and China is not. The Russian platform has achieved over 110 launches across eight generations of continuous improvement, while the Chinese platform has managed eight (only a fraction of which are manned.) Ergo, we will continue using Soyuz until NASA finally builds with whatever overpriced boondoggle ultimately replaces the Shuttle.
Quote:
or scale up scaled composites production.
Again, you = moron. Scaled Composite's spacecraft spinoff, The Spaceship Company, is building sub-orbital rocket planes for the foreseeable future. The only feasible "private" orbital ship I've seen is SpaceX's Dragon capsule, and the man-rated version isn't going to be ready until at least 2013 - 2014. The usual suspects (Boeing and Lockheed) are developing capsules of their own, with testing set to start sometime around 2015.
Sarevok wrote:
Musk has crazy plans like sending 10000 people to Mars. You heard it right, 10000 human beings. He thinks he can deliver cargo to mars at $100-$200 kg. Very crazy ideas. Nonethless if it pans out needless to say there are science fiction like oppurtunies for space pilots seeking to work in the private sector...
Outside of Earth orbit, I expect that such opportunities will remain in the realm of science fiction during the lifetime of anyone old enough to participate on this board.
Even Musk's conservative (pronounced: 'vaguely in-line with reality') estimate puts the first man on Mars no earlier than the early 2030s (his optimistic estimate is the early 2020s . . . but he has yet to actually build the Falcon Heavy rocket required to do this, let alone prove that it can safely carry people.) Which would equate to having 10,000 humans on Mars by the mid-2070s, assuming you somehow managed to launch fifty (over double the present number of launch sites on Earth) ten-man spaceships to Mars every launch window (which opens every 780 days.) If you, somehow, had built four spaceships that could carry the same number of people as a Boeing 747 (for simplicity's sake, we'll say that a Boeing 747 carries 400 people,) starting from 2030, you could put 10,000 people on Mars by 2060 . . . but I'd be surprised if you saw a space-747 before the second half of the century, let alone four of them. If I weren't planning to be dead, unaware, and indifferent by then; I'd be shocked if there were 10,000 people on Mars before the year 2150.