ten times may be about right for the short term. This might be useful for you for non western countries: http://calc.bd2050.org/pathways/1111111 ... 1111111000
There's other ones available for China, India, Uk ect...
So Short term effects:
Venezuela, Russia, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain start to see oil revenue slide, undermining their entire economy and raising chance of riots and revolutions.
Saudi Arabia could fling a lot of poo as it goes down, but not sure it could do much actual damage. NIGERIA is the big one. If that collapses and the population scatters as a migrant dispora it'll be a bloodbath.
Indonesia, Australia, Russian Federation, United States, Colombia, South Africa start to see COAL revenue slide faster. This ranges from serious destabilisation for Indosnesia and Australia to localised economic collapses for the US. Russia gets clobbered twice over.
Indosenesia is also a major tin producer, so you might see the mining sector wriggle a lot between sites for a a decade before contracting. Probably leaving vast environmental damage in its wake.
Investment shifts to copper, lithium, rare earth metals. The latter two are already highly valued, so minimal change there short term. Copper production: Chile booms, Other South American do too. Russia gets some luck. Congo gets a puppet dictator installed to allow us to mine.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_c ... production
Collapse in solar power pisses off china especially.
Going to focus on non-west as more interesting. Countries like Bangladesh and India with a hugely overstretched grid sees very fast mobilisation of box per house. Many houses have a diesel generator anyway, so it's an easy swap. Various politicians and officials attempt to monopolise the design, regulate it and make it difficult for competitors. They largely fail. A string of house fires caused by poor wiring results in legitimate attempts to set up inspectors and housing regs. It dosen't solve the issue but does help.
Demand for lightbulbs spikes, then paint and tiles (you can now see the dirt) as well as white goods. TVS, Fridge, freezer and aircon in that order.
Land prices remain high in the cities. Small houses don't mean less gadgets but does constrain their size. Over the long term, the urban heat island effect will become worse and worse. You are dumping a huge amount of energy as heat (eventually) into the city air. This would probably result in a series of increasingly bad heatwaves and deaths before water fountains and trees and similar options become standard (or not). I'll come to water shortages down the page.
Electric train systems continue to be proposed, but frankly energy was never the difficult part there. Still, being able to load a wagon full of boxes with no need for wiring and a gantry support system to hold the Overhead wires makes the billions the UK is spending right now look fairly foolish. Some boat companies start looking at another size up from the current largest.
Various NGOs have plans for the Boxes too. The first is simplest, and that is distributing them to the poorest areas, off grid hospitals ect. It will take a long time for the costs of the boxes to drop low enough to reach these places and people are dieing in the meantime. The next is desalination. The water table under Dakar has dropped by like ten meters in the last decade or so, and the hundreds of dams being built in asia for hydroelectricity suddenly cost more, return less and represent political liabilities. Salt water from the sea being pumped into canals with desalination plants along their length (or desalinated first and simply dumped into irrigation canals to keep the water table high and stop salt water intrusion into the aquifer.)
This isn't limited to poor countries either. From California to the Uk to Australia, as energy costs drop exponentially desalination feeds thirsty cities: http://www.wri.org/resources/charts-gra ... ss-country
In the medium term, these NGOs will be tied up trying to manage the collapsing petrostates and alleviate the hardship there. You can now do things like fill a lorry with the infrastructure requirements of a tent city and get it up and running without relying on high risk fuel imports. You could have Fischer-Tropf unit that produces nitrogenous fertilizer with nothing more then an air intake and a pellet output slot. Stick it in a barn and leave it running all year. This doesn't solve one of the other key nutrient requirements though...
Other NGOs (or possibly even elightened goverments) may, once their grid is fairly green, be setting up powered air filters to suck out CO2 and produce black carbon, to be mixed into ground, or buried appropriately. There's an energy calc that could be used to
measure the minimum number of these sets needed to halt/reverse climate change.
It helps us with maybe three of the key limits we're butting up against, and maybe, if used sensibly, could result in avoiding a few others. the rest will require clever engineering to solve, even with free power.
https://tedideas.files.wordpress.com/20 ... hic3v7.png
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