India's pollution problem

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mr friendly guy
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India's pollution problem

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http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-11-13/w ... es/9143090
Choking on democracy: Why Delhi's air worsens as Beijing's improves
By South Asia correspondent James Bennett
Updated about 3 hours ago

It's difficult to convey how oppressive Delhi's air pollution is.

Key points:

New Delhi's count of harmful PM2.5 particles exceeds a staggering 1,000
The highest rating is reserved for readings between 300 and 500
Millions of tweets, Facebook and WhatsApp posts express people's collective frustration
Morning visibility is a couple of hundred metres. Through the eerie filtered light, figures emerge from and disappear into the gloom.

Some wear masks or handkerchiefs, most blithely dismiss the apocalyptic atmosphere, shrugging it off as "just fog".

Except it isn't.

Last Wednesday, central New Delhi's count of harmful PM2.5 particles exceeded a staggering 1,000 on the US EPA's air quality index.

To put that in perspective, the highest rating, "hazardous to human health — do not go outside", is reserved for readings between 300 and 500.

Delhi was off the scale, twice.

The concentration of poisonous particles is so intense that ingesting it, even through a mask, blurs the line between taste and smell. Eyes water. Throats rasp.

"But, if China can fix this, then tell me, why can't we!?" demanded one news anchor angrily, of an unfortunate live studio guest.

Sadly, the interrogation wasn't aimed at a politician, but instead an environmental activist wondering the same thing.

"Its a very good question," the activist replied.

We asked your thoughts on Delhi's air pollution. Read the discussion in the comments.
Outrage rarely outlasts social media posts

Following angry protests several years ago, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang declared "war" on pollution, fearing worsening air could spark wider community unrest.

He ordered crackdowns on factories and power plants flouting rarely-enforced regulations.

ABC reporter in most polluted city


In 2015, then ABC South Asia correspondent Stephanie March was shocked to learn the price her health was paying for the time she spent reporting from Delhi, the world's most polluted city.
According to Greenpeace, it's working.

Last year, the environmental group examined a decade of satellite particulate matter measurements, concluding "China's systematic efforts to combat air pollution have achieved an impressive improvement in average air quality".

India generally dislikes comparisons to rival China, and Greenpeace's findings didn't make for happy reading in Delhi.

"From 2011 to 2015, China has made big strides while in India, pollution levels have kept rising," the report noted.

Why? Because Delhiites' seasonal outrage rarely outlasts their social media posts, and the country's politicians know it.

In the last week, millions of tweets, Facebook and WhatsApp posts tagged #DelhiChokes and #airpocalypse have expressed people's collective frustration — a year after record-breaking pollution prompted Government promises of action in 2016 — the same thing is now happening again.

But not only is the digital mobocracy's rage ephemeral, it is also quickly diluted by a myriad of rival interests.

Take the ham-fisted effort to replicate an initiative used in China and elsewhere — only allowing private vehicles on alternate days.

The scheme was to take effect this week, but the Delhi state administration shelved it over the weekend, irritated that India's environmental tribunal ruled there would be no exceptions for women, motorbikes or senior Government workers.

Vehicles drive through heavy smog in Delhi.
PHOTO: In Delhi, illegal stubble burning, a widely-acknowledged contributor to the seasonal smog, continues. (Reuters: Cathal McNaughton)
Health is not a major concern

Meanwhile in states surrounding Delhi, illegal stubble burning, a widely-acknowledged contributor to the seasonal smog, continues.

Politicians in Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh say poor farmers have no alternative.

Punjab's chief minister argued that penalising farmers would be "more criminal" than "the act for which they are being condemned".

Similar pleas are made by transport, construction, brick-making and other industry sectors, all complaining that regulation or forced change would be an impossible imposition on ordinary Indians.

The gridlock provides an easy excuse for politicians to do nothing.

Indeed, India's Twitter-loving Prime Minister Narendra Modi hasn't mentioned it once. Indifference is bliss.

And there's another reason this 'weather the storm' approach works too.

Unlike in China, where anger spurred Beijing into action, air quality and its impact on health simply isn't a major concern for many Indians, especially poorer ones.

Numerous working-class Delhiites say their lungs are "used to it", or if they do concede ill-health, they'll question the cause.

The indifference to their health exasperates doctors like lung surgeon Dr Arvind Kumar.

"Their lungs are turning black," Dr Kumar, chairman of lung surgery at New Delhi's Ganga Ram hospital, said.

"We're going to have an epidemic of lung cancer."
So, what must come first, anger or leadership?

A schoolboy covers his face with a handkerchief.
PHOTO: Some wear masks or handkerchiefs, most blithely dismiss the apocalyptic atmosphere, shrugging it off as 'just fog.' (Reuters: Saumya Khandelwal)
People's movement could bring change

Mexico's ambassador to India last week wrote how contingency plans for various pollution levels built awareness and support for Mexico City's efforts to curb pollution in the 90s.

Something similar does exist in New Delhi, but requires little action in all but the most extreme circumstances.

Ambassador Melba Maria Pria Olavarrieta argued that Mexico City's graded directives gave the pollution issue "a direct impact on the lives of the common man, woman, boy and girl".

The disruption, she said "created awareness and dialogue about the importance of air quality".

Considered the world's most polluted city in 1992, Mexico City's example also refutes the argument that such change is impossible in developing countries.

Would it work in Delhi?

Dr Kumar thinks it will take a public push, like the kind that drove change in China.

"The Communist Party there saw it as an issue which could affect the survival of the Government, so they reacted," he said.

That sort of concern has so far been lacking or temporary in India, but Dr Kumar is hopeful that with sustained pressure it will come.

"When it becomes a people's movement in India too, the Government will have no choice but to sit up and act on it," he said.
It's a cruel irony. Fear of public anger is credited with driving change in a one-party state, while the citizens of a great democracy argue amongst themselves.
Few thoughts

1. I have said before, that India is going to end up as the latest captain planet villain, and eventually mainstream media (as opposed to environmental blogs) are going to notice.

2. Western media like comparing India and China. Apparently India media likes that too. Chinese media doesn't apparently (and yes people have done studies based on how many times each country is mentioned in the others media).

Its been a thing to compare India and China for a long time, since they are both similar in population, both large countries by land mass, and had similar economies when China started its reform. There will be people (like this article's author) who thinks of it in terms of forms of government, however my take on it (ie the clean up) is largely due to improving GDP / capita. Economists even have a graph to describe this phenomena. Its called the environmental Kutznets curve (not to be confused with the regular kutznets curve).

Once India's GDP per capita reaches that sweet spot, I expect it to start cleaning up. Part of it is that they can afford more cleaner energy, ie burn natural gas instead of junk for energy.

3. Given this, India will have higher pollution than China for some time yet. For example if you look at say sulphur dioxide emissions China's emissions have decreased from 2007 while GDP / capita continues to go up. Currently its sulphur dioxide emissions are lower than India's. However India's current GDP /capita is still got some way to go to match China's GDP /capita at its polluting peak of 2007 (in nominal, in PPP its closer). It might not necessarily reach China at its peak, but China is decreasing. In particulate emissions India surpassed China in 2016, with China's coming down by 17% from 2010 to 2015 while India increased by 13% in the same period
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Re: India's pollution problem

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Friendly, I may be having some trouble parsing your post for some reason, but...

How does India's level of pollution by metrics like "air quality in capital" compare to where China was when China had the same per capita GDP? If you're right, then that would be a fair way to compare the two countries.
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Re: India's pollution problem

Post by Zixinus »

A rough thought*: the reason "more money = less pollution" is that there was money because they allowed more pollution. Filtering air pollution costs money. Investors set up factories in your country because they are not obligated to spend that money, so their investment will return at a greater profit. China managed to climb itself out of the poverty hole after a generation was thrown into the meat grinder like this, with people willing to live in polluted poverty because they had no other choice. The profit they earned collectively was invested in education and aggressive improvements of local industry. That paid off eventually, now there are places like Shenzen. Now modern Chinese are not only educated, they want proper homes and non-polluted places.

The average Indian doesn't care because they have no choice but to make do as it is. They do not care because they know they have to put up with it. They can't protest because they probably can't get other things. A quick search shows that indoor plumbing is non-standard in a lot of Indian homes (I am unsure how substantiated this is). This may be because India is not China, on many levels, and either could not aggressively invest the way China did or did not follow that solution in the first place. China has a one-party central government while India is a democracy with a radically different approach to things.

A more intelligent answer would probably come from someone who would understand how India works. I mean, in most countries enviromentalists don't solve problem, they point out a problem that can usually be only solved by the person responsible for making the problem.

*This thought has not been researched to make this opinion. I am merely guessing based on the news article and posts here.
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mr friendly guy
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Re: India's pollution problem

Post by mr friendly guy »

Simon_Jester wrote: 2017-11-13 09:48am Friendly, I may be having some trouble parsing your post for some reason, but...

How does India's level of pollution by metrics like "air quality in capital" compare to where China was when China had the same per capita GDP? If you're right, then that would be a fair way to compare the two countries.
That's because I am not comparing those per say. I am comparing things now, not when they both reach their polluting peak. In fact for various reasons which I can go into later if you like, I think India won't reach the polluting peak China did.

The environmental Kuznets curve states that countries will clean up their act when they reach a certain GDP /capita. Currently India's GDP/capita still has some time to go before it reaches the GDP/capita of China when it was at its polluting peak. Currently China is now polluting less than India on certain metrics like PM2.5, sulphur dioxide, but more on carbon emissions. So I conclude India will be more polluted (air pollution) than China for some time even if it doesn't reach the heights of pollution China had, because its going to take India time to reach a high enough GDP/capita when they start making serious in roads into their pollution. Meanwhile China's air pollution is trending down on certain metrics. Hope that makes it clear.
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