Zaune wrote:At this point, I think Scottish independence is damn near inevitable. The only question is whether it can be achieved without bloodshed.
As someone living in Scotland I have to say this is ludicrous. Outside the more unsavoury elements that nationalist movements tend to attract around the fringes I can't say i've met anyone that cares enough about their democratically elected officials sitting a couple of hundred miles closer to their house that they would want to shed blood over it.
With regards to another referendum there's not really any evidence that support for independence has budged an inch since the Brexit vote. One problem that Sturgeon has is that nationalists tend to be, well, nationalistic, and support for the EU is not actually all that strong amongst the SNP core voters she would need on side to ever hope to win any future referendum. She needs Brexit to justify a new referendum, but has to play it very coy about whether an independent Scotland would actually even apply for EU membership - which makes her come off as an opportunist. Hence all the polls demonstrating she hasn't persuaded anywhere near a majority of Scots that we should actually even have another referendum at the moment.
If they had any sense they would wait a few years until Brexit has started to bite before even suggesting another referendum. I suspect they are eager to get it done before the next Scottish elections as, due to various problems they have been kicking into the long grass domestically, they are by no means assured of a pro-independence majority in Holyrood after this point.