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The line was so badly compromised, it moved a whole ten klicks. I defy you to find a single serious western commentator who doesn't think the fall of Avdiivka didn't compromise Ukrainian defences. Ukraine has been steadily retreating everywhere for weeks. Literally noone is now saying Ukraine is do...

https://x.com/NeilPHauer/status/1763163602192646474?s=20 The consequences of the Ukrainian failure to build a strong second defensive line behind Avdiivka over the past two years are playing out now. Russian forces have advanced 6-7km west of Avdiivka in the past week at a consistent rate. Avdiivka...

So there is a lot that you've said that I take issue with, and I promise that I will respond properly when I have more time, probably tomorrow. But there is news today with just HILARIOUS timing, and I am, first and foremost, a vindictive bastard. This would be a very easy claim of mine for you to r...

Funny you should mention the flame throwers. One was destroyed in a rather high-profile drone strike just after the Dnipro landings, and they haven't been reported in the area since. This is an incredibly funny way to reason - i.e. an extremely bad one. Like - shockingly - because you saw a single ...

Seems to be holding on just fine, given that MORE divisions of Russian troops are being chewed up in the major battlefronts, the Avdiivka offensive has STILL not captured a town of 30,000 people pre-war, and the Ukrainians have not been pushed back across the Dnipro. If this is what Russia can do wi...

As every losing sports teams says: "There's always next season." Except that Ukraine is simply running low on swinging dicks to throw at the Russians. If they're using press gangs now, by this time next year it'll be boys and old codgers. Then what? https://time.com/6329188/ukraine-volody...

There's already pushback against the flooding, people declaring this will damage aquifers and other clean water sources. One commenter stated it "would cause localized quakes". Not sure how much of that is truth. And Solauren? You're evil. Nah, just ineffective. As far as I know, the chea...

Sadly, western tankies/pro Russian propagandists seem to think that's an entirely reasonable demand How do they try to justify the "don't join NATO" part ? Because I don't see anything else that would stop Russia from trying again once they have rebuilt their military. The justification i...

The last widely publicized Ukrainian drone bombing took place in St. Petersburg, and it preceded a much more significant missile strike on the Russian Navy. I think these items were linked, in that the high-profile strike in a thought-to-be-unreachable city called away air defense assets, which left...

They lost all reserves in the south, it's becoming so bad that Ukraine forces managed to sneak a handful people across a couple of miles into Kopani, overwhelm the sleepy guards with no nightvision, and then get into the barracks, empty their mags into the sleeping men, toss a few granades, and sca...

Bear in mind, Israel again, did not demolish the hospital. They have the power to flatten that building with JDAMs without risking a life of their own, but instead spent days and lives encircling and then assaulting the building. I do not mean this as praise for doing the most basic requirement of a...

Well, similar to false surrender, fighting in civilian infrastructure does give your enemy a lot more leeway in what is and isn't a war crime. Regarding the hospital, evidence supporting Israel does continue to grow more shaky. Not conclusive, mind, but whether or not it really was a military base i...

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/13/politics/al-shifa-hospital-us-intelligence/index.html A US official with knowledge of American intelligence says Hamas has a command node under the Al-Shifa hospital, uses fuel intended for it and its fighters regularly cluster in and around Gaza’s largest hospital. T...

Well, turns out the hospital really did have an HQ underneath, with some circumstantial evidence that hostages might have been kept there. Arms and munitions were recovered, indicating that Hamas was storing explosive hazards, in a war zone, directly beneath a hospital full of their own civilians. U...

More ships destroyed in Crimea. The Russians hit and damaged a Liberian-flagged commercial vessel. No repercussions yet, nor a continuation of the pattern. It could be a case of mistaken identity, which would be odd considering there are no large Ukrainian military vessels they could have been aimin...

Zwinmar, apparently. I assume the bombing of civilian buildings is simply an effort to reduce the defensive advantage of urban warfare. Tanks are vulnerable to top attack? Reduce the number of vantage points enabling top attack. Fewer rooms for the enemy to hide in means fewer rooms to clear. Piles ...

Someone on Reddit pointed out, early in the Avdiivka fighting, that this is just the cost of warfare. In the video they were commenting on, two or three Russian AFVs were destroyed, but the remainder didn't retreat, and it is broadly accepted that the territory they captured is now firmly in Russian...

On the subject of the conscription and the assault on Avdiivka: the 25th Combined Arms Army is the unit undertaking the heavy lifting here. It is a relatively new formation that was supposed to be in reserve or at least in defensive posture until at least December. Recruitment advertising claimed th...

Good analysis, LaCriox. It sounds like Ukraine is doing extremely well for itself in what's going to be more like the Battle of the Bulge than anything modern US/NATO forces are used to and trained for. The thing is, the US/NATO's experience so far has been something akin to '3rd World Country of t...

UA forces are using their tank usually in a long range artillery sniper role, firing at 2-3 km, only using them close-up in the ultimate pushes when they are staorming a fortification. Also, most of their losses are due to mines and At fire in combat, while russians are mostly lost due to drones an...

This is one thing western Generals (especially US) can't comprehend - the Ukrainians can't concentrate their forces and push with might. 1. Pushing through a minefield ist just stupid. 2. Western style warfare only works if you have air superiority and just delete any obstacles that slow you down. ...

It is also important to remember that Western perception is tremendously important to Ukraine in this war. Assuring pro-Ukraine westerners that the Russian Telegram footage of destroyed expensive equipment is all suspect is a very significant goal. Anyone who wants to support Ukraine irrespective of...

I think the question now is was the plane hit by accident or on purpose, not if it was hit by some form of AA and even then it could be an engineered accident as in the guy pulling the trigger didn't know they were shooting down Prigozhin but it was engineered so that the plane crossing to Moscow a...

Telegram is far from reliable, but there are claims that it was an S-300 that shot the plane down. Might not have even been Putin, could have been his military command acting independently to eliminate a rival. If the coup showed us anything, it's that Putin doesn't have near the control he claims a...

The Russians are digging in like something out of 2023, not WWI. The Great War doesn't have a monopoly on hiding in a hole. If you want to slow down an enemy offensive, this is how you do it, it's something that has never really changed in the history of warfare. The potential response has changed a...